Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.437917 0.513050 0.595059 0.690941 0.799673 0.918851 1.059055
2025-01-26 0.324368 0.426664 0.549246 0.705653 0.898483 1.126919 1.416344
2025-02-02 0.251092 0.364871 0.512410 0.714690 0.981318 1.316925 1.766871
2025-02-09 0.200049 0.317579 0.480870 0.718916 1.050702 1.489557 2.105279
2025-02-16 0.167645 0.287884 0.465345 0.738041 1.136412 1.685424 2.484790
2025-02-23 0.139991 0.258948 0.444715 0.744304 1.200921 1.853605 2.835364
2025-03-02 0.111715 0.222947 0.406833 0.717933 1.212123 1.943778 3.078958
2025-03-09 0.097676 0.208086 0.399658 0.737001 1.291465 2.136186 3.479938
2025-03-16 0.084764 0.192576 0.388664 0.747487 1.356630 2.309898 3.861956
2025-03-23 0.078021 0.187452 0.394717 0.786570 1.470085 2.563885 4.379214
2025-03-30 0.066571 0.170527 0.376677 0.780918 1.507547 2.699167 4.718574
2025-04-06 0.056450 0.154267 0.357346 0.770144 1.534178 2.817095 5.035128
2025-04-13 0.047943 0.140035 0.340345 0.762468 1.566752 2.948976 5.385772
2025-04-20 0.042670 0.132351 0.335704 0.778081 1.642550 3.158346 5.875798
2025-04-27 0.037632 0.124109 0.328599 0.787776 1.707779 3.353014 6.351078
2025-05-04 0.032934 0.115621 0.319602 0.792328 1.763113 3.532939 6.809713
2025-05-11 0.029853 0.110882 0.318455 0.813088 1.850973 3.775038 7.386577
2025-05-18 0.026367 0.104076 0.311318 0.819885 1.911335 3.970177 7.889915
2025-05-25 0.021654 0.092124 0.289492 0.791242 1.897351 4.027149 8.150143
2025-06-01 0.019761 0.088832 0.289281 0.811952 1.986384 4.280795 8.774803
2025-06-08 0.017705 0.084399 0.285339 0.823338 2.056351 4.501479 9.348572
2025-06-15 0.016962 0.084538 0.293944 0.865761 2.195575 4.861815 10.193958
2025-06-22 0.014690 0.078205 0.283309 0.859628 2.228460 5.016553 10.662957